Gold (XAUUSD) Short-Term Technical Analysis
General Overview
- Current Price: ~3235-3240 USD
- Price is within a strong ascending channel on Daily and H4 timeframe
- Approaching upper boundary of the channel
- Key demand zones: 3070 – 2990 and ~2800
Classic Technical Analysis
- Trend: Bullish
- Near resistance (upper channel line)
- Potential bearish candlestick patterns spotted
- Key Support: 3160, 3090
- Resistance: 3245 (if broken, next level is 3300)
Harmonic Analysis
- Pattern forming: Bat or Shark
- Potential reversal zone: 3240 – 3260
- Confirmed if price breaks below 3180
Fibonacci & Numeric Analysis
- Current level around 78.6% retracement = Potential reversal
- Gann Angle 1:1 = Price may resist here
SMC (Smart Money Concepts)
- Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) confirmed
- Current price in Premium Zone = ideal for potential sell
- Strong Buy zone: 3070 – 2990
ICT (Inner Circle Trader)
- Price sweeping liquidity above previous highs
- Expected drop to Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) at 3135, 3090, and 3015
Momentum Analysis
- RSI & MACD not shown but price movement indicates strong overbought condition
- Expect correction soon
Today’s Scenario
If price fails to break 3245 and forms bearish candlestick:
Sell Zone: 3245 – 3260
SL: Above 3275 (H4 Close)
TP1: 3180
TP2: 3090
TP3: 3015 – 2990
SL: Above 3275 (H4 Close)
TP1: 3180
TP2: 3090
TP3: 3015 – 2990
If 3245 breaks with strong close:
Buy towards: 3280 – 3300
This Week’s Scenario
- Early week correction due to overbought zone
- Expect price to retest 3090 – 3070 before continuing upward trend
Important Notes
- Wait for confirmation (Pin Bar / Engulfing Candle)
- Follow USD or CPI news for impact
- Use partial TP to reduce risk